Mathematical predictions for week 10. There is no bias, only handicapping stats for these. Use this only as a benchmark to make your handicapping decisions.

Last week my pics went 12-14 (46%) little hope you all, in picking the spreads I was 3-10 (23%), the over/under’s were much better at 9-4 (69%). Some of these predictions, are hard to do, what and leave out the bias. Surprisingly some of the under’s for last week that did go under, I probably would’ve picked the over’s.

Morning games (Teams in parenthesis is the spread, not the pick)

Jacksonville Jaguars versus New York Jets (Jets -7)

The Jets are averaging 22.1 points of offense, and holding opponents to 16.8 points on defense. Jacksonville’s putting up 19.6 points per game and allowing 24.8 points per game Jacksonville is -4 in turnovers and the Jets are even. The Jets have only been passing for 165 yards per game, but their pass defense has been just as stingy.

Predictions Pick the Jets 24 Jacksonville 17 over 40.5

Denver Broncos versus Washington Redskins (Denver -3.5)

Denver is putting up 19 PPG, and allowing 15.5 PPG. Washington is only putting up two touchdowns per game, and allowing 19.3 PPG. The Redskins struggle with turnovers at -8. Washington is only rushing 99 yards per game and passing 199 yards per game. Denver is rushing 111 yards a game, and passing 220 yards a game.

Prediction Denver 21 Washington 10 under 37

Cincinnati Bengals versus Pittsburgh Steelers (Steelers -7)

Cincinnati is putting up 23 points a game and allowing 17 points a game, Pittsburgh is putting up 24 points a game and allowing 17 points a game. Cincinnati is +2 in the turnover ratio and Pittsburgh is -3. Both teams are running the ball well, and Pittsburgh is passing for 266.9 yards per game.

Prediction Pittsburgh 21 Bengals 20 under 41.5

Buffalo Bills versus Tennessee Titans (Titans -7)

The bills are putting up 15.4 points on offense, and allowing 21.1 points on defense. Tennessee is putting up 18.1 PPG, and allowing 29.8 PPG in defense. Tennessee is also – four in the turnover ratio, while Buffalo is +3. Tennessee runs the ball great, with 161 yards per game rushing. Both teams are passing low less than 170 yards per game. Tennessee has given up some big pass yardage with 278.4 yards per game allowed on defense. Buffalo is giving up 174 yards rushing per game.

Prediction Tennessee 28 Buffalo 21 over 41

Detroit Lions versus Minnesota Vikings (Vikings -16.5)

The lines are scoring 16.6 PPG, and giving up 29.6 PPG. The Vikings are averaging 30.5 points per game on offense, and allowing 21.8 points on defense. Detroit is – seven in the turnover ratio, and Minnesota is +5. Detroit is rushing 104 yards per game to Minnesota’s 118, and struggling with the pasts at 189 yards per game, to the Vikings 235.

Prediction Minnesota 31 Detroit 20 over 47

New Orleans Saints versus St. Louis Rams (Saints -13.5)

The Saints are averaging 37.9 points per game and allowing 21.8 PPG. San Luis is scoring at 9.6 PPG, and allowing 27.6 PPG. The Saints are +8 in the turnover margin, and the Rams are – 7. New Orleans runs the ball well at 145.8 yards per game and passes the ball well at 281.1 yards per game. St. Louis gives up 134.8 yards per game in rushing.

Prediction New Orleans 35 St. Louis 14 under 50

Atlanta Falcons versus Carolina Panthers (Falcons -1.5)

The Falcons are putting up 25.3 points per game, and giving up 20.8 PPG. The Panthers are scoring 18.5 points per game, and allowing 24.5 PPG. Atlanta is positive with +4 in the turnover ratio to Atlanta’s – 9. Carolina runs the ball well with 153 yards per game, Atlanta is allowing 246.4 yards per game in passing.

Prediction Atlanta 24 Carolina 21 over 45

Tampa Bay Buccaneers versus Miami Dolphins (Dolphins -10)

Tampa Bay is putting up 16.8 points per game and giving up 28.9 PPG. Miami is putting up 24.1 PPG and giving up 25.5 PPG. Tampa is even on the turnover ratio, and Miami is – 1. Miami rushes the ball well, with 150.9 yards per game, on defense they give up 246.9 yards per game.

Prediction Miami 28 Tampa Bay 20 over 43

Afternoon games

Kansas City Chiefs versus Oakland Raiders (Raiders -2)

Kansas City is putting up 15.8 points per game, and giving up 25.6 PPG. Oakland is scoring 9.8 PPG on offense, and allowing 25.1 PPG on defense. The turnover ratio is Oakland -9, Kansas City +3. Both teams are rushing for under 100 yards, and Oakland is only passing for 122 YPG. Kansas City is giving up 252 yards per game passing.

Prediction Kansas City 20 Oakland 17 over 36.5

Seattle Seahawks versus Arizona Cardinals (Cardinals -9)

The Seahawks are putting up, and giving up 20.9 points per game. Arizona’s scoring 24.8 PPG, and giving up 20.5 PPG. Seattle is even with turnover ratios, and Arizona is – 6. Both teams are rushing for under 90 yards per game, and Arizona’s passing for over 260 yards per game, to Seahawks to 36.3 YPG. On defense Arizona is allowing 247.3 yards per game in the air or it

Prediction Arizona 21 Seattle 20 under 46.5

Philadelphia Eagles versus San Diego Chargers (Chargers -1)

Philadelphia is scoring 27.4 points per game, and giving up 19.1 PPG. The Chargers are putting up 25.8 PPG and allowing 22.4 PPG. Philadelphia is plus 11 in the turnover ratio, and San Diego is +2.
San Diego is only rushing for 69.6 yards per game, but passing for 265.8 YPG. San Diego is giving up 130.1 yards per game rushing in defense.

Prediction Philadelphia 27 San Diego 20 over under is a push at 47

Dallas Cowboys versus Green Bay Packers (Cowboys -3)

The Cowboys are scoring 27.1 points per game, and giving up 19 points per game. The Packers are scoring 26.9 PPG, and allowing 21.5 PPG in defense. Dallas is even on the turnover ratio, and Green Bay is +10. Both teams rushed the ball well with over 120 yards per game on the ground and match up evenly in passing offense. Green Bay is stingy on pass defense, only allowing 185.8 YPG.

Prediction Green Bay 27 Dallas 24 over 47.5

New England Patriots versus Indianapolis Colts (Colts -3)

Patriots are putting up 28.1 points per game and giving up 14.4 points per game, Indianapolis is putting up 27.1 points per game, and allowing 13.5 PPG. Both teams are positive in the turnover ratio, with the Patriots at +8, and the Colts +7. Indianapolis is only rushing 85.4 yards per game, both teams are passing for above 290 yards per game. The defenses match up almost evenly.

Prediction Indianapolis Colts 24 New England 21 under 49.5

Monday night game

Baltimore Ravens versus Cleveland Browns (Ravens -10.5)

The Ravens are putting up 25.8 points per game and allowing 19.3 PPG. Cleveland is putting up 9.8 PPG, and allowing 26.1 PPG Baltimore is +2 in the turnover ratio in Cleveland is -11. Cleveland is rushing for less than 100 yards per game, and allowing 170.5 yards per game and rushing.

Prediction Baltimore 28 Cleveland 14 over 40